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- How Deadly Is The Swine Flu Pandemic?
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June
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Is The Mortality Rate For H1n1 Really 6-7%?
1:31 AM | Posted by
Swine Flu Info Blog |
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That would be the deadliest flu since the 1918 Spanish Flu epidemic.
Why isn't the CDC coming out with more accurate numbers regarding numbers of infected people and mortality rates? From what I can see, that mortality rate is way off base and is causing unfounded fears. Any thoughts?
Why isn't the CDC coming out with more accurate numbers regarding numbers of infected people and mortality rates? From what I can see, that mortality rate is way off base and is causing unfounded fears. Any thoughts?
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The typical mortality rate of the flu is considered to be from about 0.06% to 0.24% (based on an assumption that 5% to 20% of the population get infected and we have on the order of 30,000 deaths annually).
The H1N1 (a.k.a. 'Swine' flu) has an estimated mortality rate of 2.5% to 10%.
Well, in the US there has only been one death (A mexican 2 year old who the flu developed into pneumonia). At such a young age one's immune system is strong enough to fight it off. And, this is one death out of 118 confirmed cases in America.
In mexico, out of 260 confirmed cases, about 12 have died, but also take into consideration that they also lack adequate health care, may already have low immune systems, are surrounded by many others who are infected, and it originated there so it's stronger.
As of 06:00 GMT, 2 May 2009, 15 countries have officially reported 615 cases of influenza A(H1N1) infection.
The United States Government has reported 141 laboratory confirmed human cases, including one death.
The following countries have reported laboratory confirmed cases with no deaths - Austria (1), Canada (34), China, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (1), Denmark (1), France (1), Germany (4), Israel (2), Netherlands (1), New Zealand (4), Republic of Korea (1), Spain (13), Switzerland (1) and the United Kingdom (13).
The total number of laboratory confirmed A/H1N1 flu infections worldwide has risen to 615 with 17 deaths, the World Health Organization (WHO) said in a latest update on Saturday.
This means, in the U.S. the mortality rate is .008 (I'm rounding up)
Worldwide, the mortality rate is .028 (rounding up again)
This is under control. There is no reason to panic. The CDC and the WHO are releasing information almost hourly, just go to either of their sites to get ACCURATE INFORMATION.
www.who.int
www.cdc.gov
Their numbers are accurate.
Panicking is worse than the virus itself
THATS A SMALL NUMBER!!!!!!! I would rather be worried about Ebola with its 90% death rate, or HIV which is 100%. The only reason it was deadly back then was because we didn't fully understand how viruses work, back when it was filthy. That really is a small mortality rate though....... i think i might be scared to catch seasonal flu instead......
AS FOR THE FIRST DEATH IN DA US!!!! It was a little Mexican boy, im sorry if it sounds racist, but ITS MOSTLY MESSING WITH THE MEXICANS!!! Think back in history with smallpox, and with Hanta virus, which mostly affected Native Americans.
Do the math, with the numbers being released in mexico the death rate comes out to about 7%. Last I heard there were 2500 probable cases and 200 probable deaths due to swine flu. Just calculate the percentage as you get the newest numbers to get the mortality rate.
this can be accurate, but the numbers are mostly coming from places where medical care isn't very good. so far in the US, there have nbeen no fatalities (last i checked) but the instances are still below 20. so 6% isn't even 1 yet, right?
People, please references your sources.
I don't think so. Probably something more like .02%.
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